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April 1st, 2020 - How's That Flu Meme Aging?

So there ya have it! New Jersey schools have to start the year over in September, Nevada's non-essential shutdown ends tomorrow, Joe Exotic was released from prison after the airing of "Tiger King", and the White House docs have declared an over-under between 100,000 and 200,000 deaths! Well, at least one of those is true. Given the recent developments on predicted deaths in the US, I'd like to congratulate everyone who posted some weird comparison of COVID-19 to the flu...or H1N1...or any other virus that did a fraction of the damage COVID is going to do. Your April Fool's joke may have come like 3 weeks early, but I appreciate the effort. Missed it by that much.

After days of Tiger's Blood Winning, growth has FINALLY slowed from 15.82% to 15.79%. The skeptics are looking for anything, so I'll give that to them. Growth has slowed by 0.18%. That's YUGE. April Fools. That pushes total infection or recovery back to June 7th, so thanks for letting me have a wonderful birthday. Furthermore, I see testing still blows, and the end date for every American to be tested is still June 25th. Should I drill this down? Alabama had to STOP drive through testing. I think our motto should be changed to, "If you don't have symptoms, you don't have COVID-19. Maybe."

Moving forward, I'm going to go with Dr. Fauci's and his colleague's prediction for body count, 100,000 to 200,000, and say that based on our current mortality rate of 1.93% (ouch, that's up about 13.5%), we'll hit the low end on April 24th and the high end on April 29th. If that is indeed the case (boy I hope Fauci's right), that brings total COVID-19 cases in the US to a modest 11,308,144. WE ARE 1/60TH OF THE WAY THERE! Sounds like the worst road trip ever.

Oklahoma had a whopping 27% growth in cases yesterday. Won't be long before all 8 of those folks are infected. California is barely hanging onto third place, with lots of states about to pass them. Stupid liberal state, can't even get infected. Democrats sure do suck at this.

See ya Friday!

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What is this?

Don't worry, I'm just here with numbers. I'm not a scientist, and I'm not a doctor. I like mathematical trends, and that's about it. The numbers you see in every post are based off growth rates taken from the first cases of COVID-19 by the CDC and the current numbers they provide. This is simply a bunch of posts over a trendline.

The current numbers are real. The math is factual, the outcome is not.