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April 8th, 2020 - What Month of the Week is it?

It's been 480 hours since I was sent to work from home, and I'm fairly certain I don't know what month of the week it is anymore. Fortunately, my son is more than happy to remind me that it's 6 am every day and therefore, time to get up. So, happy Friwedmonsaturday. It's also Passover tonight, and the first time this holiday lasts 3 1/2 weeks. Gonna need a serious stash of Matzah to get through this lockdown.

Growth over the last several days has been doing well (I mean, we take what we can get, right?) at about 4% or so. I measure from the big picture and the start of recorded US infection on January 14th. Keep working to bring that growth rate down, which is now an overall 15.43% per day! Sadly, Maryland is so March right now, with more than 26% growth in a single day.

Death tolls continue to climb, with a mortality rate of 3.23%. Total US infection/recovery would, as of today, result in losses of about 10 million. To save face, several skeptics are re-tweeting their Uncle Bob, who thinks everyone who died yesterday was labeled as a COVID victim. I'll thank you in advance for doing your own research. The government's predicted 100-240k losses still seem to occur around the same time, the last week in April. I'd like to start a 7-day over/under. Next Wednesday, I'm predicting our body count to hit 34,000. More than the flu, with 0.3% of the effort.

I'm a little confused about testing. The CDC has the number of specimens tested at over 232,000. The number of tests confirmed by Worldometers is at 2.2 million. Does that mean that we've got a backlog of 2 MILLION completed tests? Or that only 10% of tests are actually getting reported to the CDC. If anyone has any insight on the CDC testing numbers that I can read about, that'd be great. Also, any incriminating evidence against Carole Baskin is awesome.

Going by Worldometers (I really prefer .gov sites), Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas could be turning into dumpster fires soon. The chance of getting tested in those states sits at about 0.3% or 1 in 333 people. US average right now appears to be 0.65%, or 1 in every 152 folks.

See you Friyay!

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What is this?

Don't worry, I'm just here with numbers. I'm not a scientist, and I'm not a doctor. I like mathematical trends, and that's about it. The numbers you see in every post are based off growth rates taken from the first cases of COVID-19 by the CDC and the current numbers they provide. This is simply a bunch of posts over a trendline.

The current numbers are real. The math is factual, the outcome is not.